Penn State
W-L: (34- 6) PR = 97.8091Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 925 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 3- 0 926 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 5- 2 1003 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 1 1004 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 5- 3 1010 A Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 5- 0 1011 A Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 7- 0 1017 H Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 1018 H Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 6- 1 1024 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 6- 1 1025 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 5- 0 1031 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 1101 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 1114 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 1115 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 1- 2 1121 A RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 5- 3 1122 A RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 4- 3 1128 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 1129 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 4- 1 1230 H Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 1- 0 1230 H Brown AC (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 1230 H Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 1- 0 1230 H Brown AC (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 102 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 5 103 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 109 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 110 A Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 3- 4 116 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 4- 1 117 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 3- 2 120 A Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 5- 1 123 H Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 5- 0 124 H Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 7- 0 130 H Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 3- 0 131 H Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 5- 2 206 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 6- 3 207 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 5- 0 213 H RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 2- 3 214 H RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 4- 2 227 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 228 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 2- 1 307 H Mercyhurst L (21-11, 96.1) 3- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
925 H St. Lawrence 3- 0 3 3 0.08
926 H St. Lawrence 5- 2 3 3 0.08
1003 A Vermont 3- 1 2 3 -0.67
1004 A Vermont 5- 3 2 3 -0.67
1010 A Delaware 5- 0 5 5 -0.46
1011 A Delaware 7- 0 7 5 1.54
1017 H Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 2 0.94
1018 H Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 2 + 2.94
1024 H Lindenwood 6- 1 5 3 1.59
1025 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 1.59
1031 A Robert Morris 4- 0 4 3 0.91
1101 A Robert Morris 4- 0 4 3 0.91
1114 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.61
1115 H Syracuse 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.39
1121 A RIT 5- 3 2 2 -0.17
1122 A RIT 4- 3 1 2 -1.17
1128 A Northeastern 2- 3 -1 1 -1.80
1129 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 1 + 2.20
1230 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.22
1230 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.22
102 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.52
103 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.52
109 A Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 1 1.71
110 A Mercyhurst 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.29
116 A Syracuse 4- 1 3 3 0.38
117 A Syracuse 3- 2 1 3 -1.62
120 A Cornell 5- 1 4 1 + 3.39
123 H Delaware 5- 0 5 6 -1.23
124 H Delaware 7- 0 7 6 0.77
130 H Robert Morris 3- 0 3 4 -0.86
131 H Robert Morris 5- 2 3 4 -0.86
206 A Lindenwood 6- 3 3 3 0.36
207 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 + 2.36
213 H RIT 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.94
214 H RIT 4- 2 2 3 -0.94
227 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.61
228 H Syracuse 2- 1 1 3 - -2.39
307 H Mercyhurst 3- 2 1 2 -1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 H Syracuse 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.39 110 A Mercyhurst 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.29 213 H RIT 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.94 228 H Syracuse 2- 1 1 3 - -2.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 2 + 2.94 1114 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.61 1129 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 1 + 2.20 120 A Cornell 5- 1 4 1 + 3.39 207 A Lindenwood 5- 0 5 3 + 2.36 227 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 3 + 3.61 |
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Lindenwood | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mercyhurst | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| RIT | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Robert Morris | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Syracuse | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Brown | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Clarkson | Penn State | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 0) | Penn State | |
| Colgate | Penn State | Penn State 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cornell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Dartmouth | Penn State | Penn State 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Harvard | Penn State | Penn State 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Princeton | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Quinnipiac | Penn State | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 1) | Penn State | |
| RPI | Penn State | Penn State 6- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| St. Lawrence | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Union | Penn State | Penn State 4- 0 vs 2- 1 | ||
| Yale | Penn State | Penn State 5- 1 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Boston College | Penn State | Penn State 4- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Boston University | Penn State | Penn State 3- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut 1- 0 vs 3- 1 | ||
| Holy Cross | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Maine | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Merrimack | Penn State | Penn State 4- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Hampshire | Penn State | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Penn State | |
| Northeastern | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Providence | Penn State | Penn State 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Vermont | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Assumption | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Franklin Pierce | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| LIU | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Post | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Sacred Heart | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| Saint Anselm | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| St.Michael's | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Stonehill | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Bemidji State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Minnesota Duluth | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Minnesota State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| St. Cloud State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| St. Thomas | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 40
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 3- 0 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 0.90 5.29
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 5- 2 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 0.90 5.29
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.15 2.78 0.39 0.90 5.73
0 A Vermont (16-20, 94.8) 5- 3 -5.15 2.78 0.39 0.90 5.73
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 5- 0 -7.93 1.00 0.39 0.90 2.51
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 7- 0 -7.93 1.00 0.39 0.90 2.51
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 -3.77 4.17 -0.39 0.90 6.84
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 6- 1 -3.77 4.17 -0.39 0.90 6.84
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 6- 1 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 0.90 4.40
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 5- 0 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 0.90 4.40
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 -5.57 2.37 0.39 0.90 4.98
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 4- 0 -5.57 2.37 0.39 0.90 4.98
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 0.90 4.43
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 0.90 -2.48
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.3) 5- 3 -4.64 3.29 0.39 0.90 6.65
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.3) 4- 3 -4.64 3.29 0.39 0.90 6.65
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 -1.31
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 4- 1 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 9.11
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 1- 0 -3.09 4.85 -0.39 0.90 8.07
0 H Brown (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 -3.92 4.01 -0.39 0.90 6.56
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 1- 0 -3.09 4.85 -0.39 0.90 8.07
0 H Brown (18-15, 96.0) 3- 2 -3.92 4.01 -0.39 0.90 6.56
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 7.93 0.39 0.90 -0.17
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 7.93 0.39 0.90 -0.17
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 -3.77 4.17 0.39 0.90 8.23
0 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 4 -3.77 4.17 0.39 0.90 -1.53
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 4- 1 -5.10 2.84 0.39 0.90 5.83
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.10 2.84 0.39 0.90 5.83
0 A Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 5- 1 -3.09 4.85 0.39 0.90 9.47
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 5- 0 -7.93 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 7- 0 -7.93 1.00 -0.39 0.90 1.11
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 3- 0 -5.57 2.37 -0.39 0.90 3.58
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 2 -5.57 2.37 -0.39 0.90 3.58
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 6- 3 -5.11 2.82 0.39 0.90 5.80
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 5- 0 -5.11 2.82 0.39 0.90 5.80
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.3) 2- 3 -4.64 3.29 -0.39 0.90 -2.27
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.3) 4- 2 -4.64 3.29 -0.39 0.90 5.25
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 0.90 4.43
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 0.90 4.43
0 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 2 -3.77 4.17 -0.39 0.90 6.84
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178.96
|
winning pts = 186.9000 losing points = -7.9403
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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